Ethereum Exchange Supply on Binance Drops to Lowest Level in Over a Year: What’s Next for ETH Price?

TLDR:

• Ethereum supply on Binance hits its lowest level since May 2024.
• Exchange withdrawals suggest growing long-term accumulation among investors.
• ETH trades at $3,573 after failing to break above $3,700 resistance.
• Analysts describe the market as in a transitional consolidation phase.

Ethereum supply on Binance has fallen to its lowest level since May 2024, signaling a notable shift in investor behavior. 

Data shows that ETH reserves on the exchange have been on a consistent decline since mid-2025. The drop follows months of heavy withdrawals, suggesting that holders are moving coins into cold storage. Analysts view the pattern as a sign of accumulation during a transitional phase in the Ethereum market.

Traders Shift ETH Off Exchanges as Prices Ease

According to data published by CryptoQuant and shared by Arab Chain, Ethereum reserves on Binance began sliding after peaking in June and July. 

By November, the supply reached its lowest level in 17 months, continuing a steady downward trajectory. The movement coincided with a slowdown in trading activity as long-term investors reduced exchange exposure.

This reduction in liquid ETH available for trading is often interpreted as a positive medium-term indicator. When exchange balances decline, it typically means fewer coins are available for immediate sale, easing short-term selling pressure. Investors tend to transfer assets to private or cold wallets when expecting future gains or reduced volatility.

Market data from CoinGecko shows Ethereum trading near $3,573, reflecting a 0.94% decline in 24 hours but a 1.32% gain over the past week. 

Despite a recent price dip from the August–September highs around $4,500–$5,000, exchange withdrawals have continued. This behavior points to profit-taking followed by renewed accumulation.

Analysts Eye $3,700 Resistance as Momentum Cools

Crypto trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that ETH recently retested support around $3,675 but failed to break higher. The token is now trading below its daily 200EMA, with the next support seen at the 200MA. The analyst described the market tone as cautious until Ethereum can reclaim the $3,700 level.

While technical resistance persists, the broader market appears to be preparing for reduced volatility. A sustained drop in exchange supply could tighten liquidity and support gradual price recovery once demand strengthens. 

CryptoQuant’s report described the current phase as a “transitional period” where holders are consolidating positions and anticipating potential catalysts.

The combination of lower exchange balances and steady price stabilization may hint at early accumulation patterns. However, analysts warn that weaker network activity or subdued demand could extend the sideways range before any breakout.